If you live in Tullyhoge (Tulach Óc), or Ballymacarret, or Ennistymon, or Slievenamon, this will be of interest to you. We're going to talk about climate...

People like us like moderate temperatures. We're used to it. We live in a temperate zone. 

And when we jet off on our holidays to Frigiliana or Ibiza we like it to be around 70 or 75 fahrenheit. A little sea breeze, and you're off in your tee shirt for a leisurely walk. Very nice. More than that, too hot for the white man. 

But in recent years, things have changed. We all know about it; warmer this, wetter that. hottest day since records began, that sort of thing. And whether you put it down to Global Warming, it is clear that things have changed. Forest fires, melting ice, animals confused about the seasons, decline of Species.

In the town of Lytton, British Columbia, Western Canada, for example, on 29th of June 2021, temperatures reached 49.6° centigrade - that's 121° fahrenheit! In that part of the world, houses are mostly made out of timber, and the TV news showed local people running down the main street trying to keep ahead of the fire as house after house spontaneously combusted. 

And yes, they did try to fry an egg on the pavement. Reports are it stayed runny.

The average temperature in the interior of British Columbia isn't a lot different to Ireland; a bit hotter in Summer, colder in Winter. More snow.

Now, if you look at a climate map of the Mediterranean, you will see an unwelcome development. 

A 2020 study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) stated that - 

'Although global climate models vary in many ways, they agree on this: The Mediterranean region will be significantly drier in coming decades, potentially seeing 40 percent less precipitation during the winter rainy season.'

The link to this study -

https://news.mit.edu/2020/why-mediterranean-climate-change-hotspot-0617

may be seen on the 'Climate and Migration' Blog of the Transition Ireland website.

This radical change in Mediterranean climate may be attributed mainly to a marked decrease in rainfall in an already-parched area, and a report by the IPCC* that temperatures in the Med. are rising about 20% faster than the global average. In fact, the global target of restraining global warming since the beginning of the Industrial Era to 1.5° C. has already been reached, and passed, by the Med region. See - https://news.mit.edu/2022/europe-heat-waves-climate-change-1011

* Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

What this means, in practical terms, is an expansion of the Sahara desert.

The Sahara is creeping North, effecting not only the countries south of the Med. vis. Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt and The Levant - but also our favourite holiday destinations - Turkey, Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal.

With a population set to reach 657 million by 2050 in Mediterranean areas vulnerable to extreme events, more people are likely to be affected in the future.

So, if you live in Portrush or Waterford, what has this to do with you?

Given the pressures on basic existence, it is not surprising that millions of people in the Med/Sahara region are looking north with envy at the pleasant temperate zones of Germany, France, Netherlands, Britain, and Ireland, and thinking "What a nice little piece of Real Estate!"

You will have already seen the boats swamping the Italian island of Lampedusa; a million migrants in Germany; thousands of young men lost at sea off the coast of Tunisia, race riots in that bastion of equality and easy living, Sweden! Tent cities in Stradbally...

So let's talk now about the Wagner Group.

The Wagner Group is described as 'a Russian state-funded, private military company (PMC) controlled until 2023 by Yevgeny Prigozhin, a former close ally of Russia's president Vladimir Putin. The Wagner Group has used the infrastructure of the Russian Armed Forces.

Evidence suggests that Wagner has been used as a proxy by the Russian government, allowing it to have plausible deniability for military operations abroad, and hiding the true casualties of Russia's foreign interventions.'

Or to put it another way, they are Mercenaries.

Wagner is a militarised group which will hire out its services to anybody with money. And they have been very successful. They are active in many countries, but particularly in Africa, in the Sahara and sub-Saharan states such as Libya, Central Africa Republic and Mali. Their preferred modus operandi are torture, rape and robbery. They are not overly troubled by the conventions of war.

And when the (former) British Home Secretary Suella Braverman spoke to the American Enterprise Institute in Washington DC on 26th September this year (see https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrpAMttlIkQ&t=1033s minutes 11:20 to 12:50), she came up with the interesting admission (supported by no less an authority than the British Secret Service) that the Wagner Group was grooming young, single men in these Saharan countries to get to Europe on migrant boats from Libya and Senegal. And they weren't just coming here for the mild weather and the Social Welfare payments; they were coming here to sleep. Or to put it another way, they were coming here as 'Sleepers' - men who would keep their heads down until it became time to act. (Note our Blog 'The Splintering of Schengen' for analysis of Islamic infiltration.)

And of course, they were welcomed here, in general. We are a generous people; we owe the world a debt of gratitude; the world provided us shelter during our worst days, the Gorta Mór of the 1850s. We have not forgotten.

And on top of that, we are members of the European Union. We have 'international obligations'; we have done well. A successful economy (the Republic) which must be maintained, a mobile, educated, sophisticated, wealthy population, an international reputation for service to the 'Third World', a trusting nature...

But we also have a question to answer, a big question. As said earlier, by 2050, there will be 650-odd million people in Mediterranean areas vulnerable to extreme events. 

And the question is: 'What we going to do with them?'

How far will the Milk of Human Kindness extend? Particularly if they are coming to our shores with malicious intent?

We are not talking about the odd boat-load of unfortunates. We are talking about enforced Population Displacement. 

If you look at those old population maps of ancient times and the Middle Ages, you will see these enormous, great arrows showing vast movements of populations from here to there, populations movements that changed completely the balance of continental populations AND the balance of power.

In the Med, we are talking about TWICE the population of USA wanting to move!

That's where we are today. You might not feel it, but you can be sure your children will. 2050 is upon us.

So, what can we do. The European Community, for the best of motives, has agreed to take in refugees, all classes of refugees, even the ones who have destroyed their passports so they can't easily be identified.

In fact, the EC can impose a fine on any member country which refuses its 'fair share' of refugees... 

"There's simply no way around it: whenever a member state is overwhelmed, there must be solidarity and a fair sharing of responsibility within the EU," Commission Vice-President Frans Timmermans said.

Countries refusing to accept their quota would effectively be fined - with the money going to frontline states such as Italy and Greece that have carried the burden.

We do well in the EU, so we're not going to sulk and take our ball home, as the British have. So, we have to use our influence within the system to change the rules, if we think they are worth changing.

And thereby hangs our dilemma. Are we to allow the nature, the balance, the very COLOUR of Irish society to be completely and irrevocably changed, as it was irrevocably changed by the coming of the Normans, the Anglo-Irish, and, as we tell ourselves, the Celts. (I do not include the Planters/Strangers here, for they never integrated with the native Irish and have remained Strangers and Planters to this day.) 

And remember, there is a COST to being Irish (This article should be read in tandem with the Blog headed 'The Cost of Being Irish' in www.TransitionIreland.org). This means that you can not simply swan into Ireland from abroad and claim Irish Nationality and a slice of the Sovereign Wealth Fund, housing and other hard-earned assets.

Or are we to defy convention and morality and put up the shutters and fight with the EU?

One thing is sure; we must take action, NOW.

In politics, it is always necessary to have an enemy or adversary. Not necessarily because you don't like somebody/some group, but because it is by identifying an 'enemy' that we can identify a point of difference between us and the other guy. That way, WE can make a succinct case for your vote.

So, who is to be our 'enemy'. Can we point to an entity? a group? a religion? an ethnicity? whose values at this time are so different/anathema to ours that we can legitimately identify, define, and isolate them as an 'enemy'?

Given the scenario painted above, we in the West must identify Militant Islam as our adversary. Their circumstances are clear, their objectives are clear, their difficulties are clear, their methodology is clear. We can make a legitimate case against them, as they will make against us as 'infidels'.

Therefore, if you live in Ballymena or Lisdoonvarna, your chief pre-occupation looking to the future, is NOT a return of Stormont, for that is a discredited, useless, hopeless aspiration; it is NOT a return to the 'Union', for the 'Union', like 'Northern Ireland', is dead, is unwanted, and has no future.

Your pre-occupation should be a unity of ALL the Irish people in the building of a Christian Democrat Front that can go to Brussels and engineer a common consensus against the creeping invasion of Europe by Muslim infiltrators. (See our Blog on the 'Splintering of Schengen').

And to help focus your thoughts when there are so many daily political distractions: it is to be noted that, since the days of the Ottoman Empire, it has been a nostrum, an article of faith for Muslims, that once the Tawheed (Flag of Islam) is planted in new ground, it can never be removed!

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Transition Ireland is a non-party organisation whose single objective is the abolition of the false state of 'Northern Ireland' and the unity of the Irish People and National Territory.